Rating Rationale
December 06, 2024 | Mumbai
 
Anax 2W 2024
(Originator: Manba Finance Limited)
'Provisional CRISIL A+ (SO)' assigned to Series A1 SNs
 
Rating Action
Details Amount Rated
(Rs.Crore)
Pool Principal
(Rs.Crore) 
Original Tenure
(Months)#
Credit Collateral
(Rs.Crore)
Rating Rating Action
Series A1 SNs 23.42 25.18 29 2.52 Provisional CRISIL A+ (SO)@ Rating Assigned
Note: None of the Directors on CRISIL Ratings Limited’s Board are members of rating committee and thus do not participate in discussion or assignment of any ratings. The Board of Directors also does not discuss any ratings at its meetings.
1 crore = 10 million
Refer to annexure for Details of Instruments & Bank Facilities
#Indicates door to door tenure. Actual tenure will depend on the level of prepayments in the pool, and exercise of the clean-up call option
@ A prefix of 'Provisional' indicates that the rating centrally factors in the strength of specific structures and is contingent upon occurrence of certain steps or execution of certain documents by the issuer, as applicable, without which the rating would either have been different or not assigned ab initio. This is in compliance with a May 6, 2015 directive ‘Standardizing the term, rating symbol, and manner of disclosure with regards to conditional/ provisional/ in-principle ratings assigned by credit rating agencies' by Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) and April 27, 2021 circular ‘Standardizing and Strengthening Policies on Provisional Rating by Credit Rating Agencies (CRAs) for Debt Instruments’ by SEBI.

 

Detailed Rationale

CRISIL Ratings has assigned ‘Provisional CRISIL A+ (SO)’ rating to Series A1 SNs issued by Anax 2W 2024. The pool is backed by two-wheeler loan receivables originated by Manba Finance Ltd (Manba; not rated by CRISIL). The ratings are based on the credit support available to the PTCs, the credit quality of the underlying pool receivables, Manba’s origination and servicing capabilities, and soundness of the transaction’s legal structure.

 

The transaction has a ‘Par with Excess Interest Spread (EIS) with trigger-based turbo’ structure. The excess interest spread will be utilised to accelerate the principal redemption of Series A1 PTCs(till they are outstanding), if the PAR 90+ of the Pool exceeds 5.0% of the initial Pool Principal.

 

Series A1 SN holders are promised timely interest on a monthly basis and principal on ultimate basis on the maturity date of the SNs.

 

Investor payouts hare supported by cash collateral, over-collateralisation and subordination of excess interest spread (EIS). Manba will continue to service loan contracts in the pool as the servicing agent.

 

CTL has been appointed to monitor the transaction on behalf of the investors.

Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description

Strengths:

  • Credit support available in the structure

                     External cash collateral in the structure amounting to Rs 2.52 crore (10.0% of pool principal) provides credit support to Series A1 PTC. The PTCs also benefit from scheduled cashflow subordination (assuming zero prepayments) amounting to Rs 4.46 crore (17.7% of pool principal) for Series A1 PTCs

  • Seasoning profile of contracts in the pool

                     Seasoning profile of contracts in the pool: The pool has a weighted average seasoning of 6.8 months and pre-securitisation amortisation of 19.6%. All of the 3,626 contracts in the underlying loan pool are current as of the cut-off date (November 05, 2024).

 

Weaknesses:

  • High risk profile of underlying asset class

                     The pool is backed by new two-wheeler loans, an asset class which has historically exhibited higher delinquency.

  • Geographical Concentration

                     71.0% of the pool principal comprises contracts originated from Maharashtra, with the Mumbai being the top district.

Liquidity: Strong

Liquidity is strong given that the credit enhancement (internal and external combined) in the structure is sufficient to cover losses exceeding 1.5 times the currently estimated base shortfalls.

Rating Sensitivity factors

Upward Factors:

  • Credit enhancement (based on both internal and external credit enhancements) available in the structure exceeding 1.9 times the base case shortfalls on the residual cash flows of the pool.

 

Downward Factors:

  • Credit collateral (internal and external combined) falling below 1.70 times the base case shortfalls.
  • A sharp downgrade in the rating of the servicer/originator.
  • Non-adherence to the key transaction terms envisaged at the time of the rating.

Additional disclosures for Provisional ratings:

The provisional rating is contingent upon execution of the following documents:

  • Trust deed
  • Assignment agreement
  • Power of attorney
  • Information memorandum
  • Legal opinion
  • Trustee letter
  • Auditor’s certificate
  • Representations and warranties letter

 

Additional documents executed for the transaction, if any, should also be provided. The provisional rating shall be converted into a final rating after receipt of transaction documents duly executed within 90 days from the date of issuance of the instrument.

 

The final rating assigned post conversion shall be consistent with the available documents. In case of non-receipt of the duly executed transaction documents within the above-mentioned timelines, the rating committee of CRISIL Ratings may grant an extension of up to another 90 days.

 

Rating that would have been assigned in absence of the pending documentation: In the absence of pending documentation considered while assigning provisional rating as mentioned above, CRISIL Ratings would not have assigned any rating.

 

Risks associated with provisional nature of credit rating:A prefix of 'Provisional' to the rating symbol indicates that the rating is contingent upon occurrence of certain steps or execution of certain documents by the issuer, as applicable. In case the documents received and/or completion of steps deviates significantly from the expectations, CRISIL Ratings may take an appropriate action including placing the rating on watch or a rating/outlook change, depending on status of progress on a case-to-case basis. In the absence of the pending steps / documentation, the rating on the instrument would not have been assigned ab initio.

About the Pool

The pool cash flow is securitised and comprises receivables from new two-wheeler loans originated by Manba. The pool has a weighted average net seasoning of 6.8 months, weighted average LTV of 81.3% and top state Maharashtra accounting for 71.0% of pool principal. Average ticket size of the pool is Rs 86,333. All contracts in the pool are current as on the cut-off date.

 

Rating Assumptions

To assess the base case shortfalls for the transaction, CRISIL Ratings has analysed moving portfolio delinquency and collection efficiency for two-wheeler loan portfolio provided by Manba till Sept 2024. 90+dpd and 0+dpd on the portfolio are 3.6 per cent and 12.3 per cent as of Sept-24 respectively. 

              

CRISIL Ratings has also factored in pool specific characteristics and estimated the base case shortfalls in the pool by the maturity of the transaction in the range of 8.0% to 10.0% of cashflows.

 

CRISIL Ratings has also factored the following assumptions, basis the typical industry characteristics of the asset class and its criteria for rating asset backed securitisations:

 

  • CRISIL Ratings has assumed a monthly prepayment of 0.5%-1.5% in its analysis.
  • Based on its assessment of Manba’s short-term credit risk profile, CRISIL Ratings has factored in the risk arising out of commingling of cash flows.
  • CRISIL Ratings has run sensitivities based on various shortfall curves (front-ended, back-ended and normal) and has adequately factored the same in its analysis.
  • CRISIL Ratings has adequately factored in the risks arising on account of counterparties.

 

Counterparty Details

Capacity

Counterparty Name

Counterparty Rating/ Track record

Effect on credit ratings in case of non-performance

Originator

Manba

Not rated by CRISIL

No effect.

Servicer

 

Manba

Not rated by CRISIL

Significant effect, because of change in servicing quality and replacement cost of servicer. However, currently CRISIL does not envisage the need for replacement. Under certain circumstances, the trust or investor has the right to change the servicer by providing an intimation to CRISIL.

Collection and Payout Account Bank

ICICI Bank

CRISIL AAA/Stable/CRISIL AA+/Stable

Negligible effect. Account bank can be changed without impacting the rating.

Collateral in the form of Fixed Deposit

ICICI Bank

CRISIL AAA/Stable/CRISIL AA+/Stable

Negligible effect. Bank with whom the fixed deposit is maintained can be changed without impacting the rating.

Trustee

Catalyst Trusteeship Limited

Not rated by CRISIL Ratings

Negligible effect. Can be replaced at minimal cost.

About the Originator

Manba Finance Ltd based in Mumbai, is an RBI registered NBFC which provides two-wheeler finance. The company started operations in 1996 as a DSA for ICICI Bank for two-wheeler loans till 2008, post which they started their own book. Manba is wholly owned by Mr. Manish Shah, either by himself or through group companies/relatives.

 

Manba has presence in four states: Maharashtra, Gujarat, Rajasthan, and Chhattisgarh.  Over the due course of operations, the company has also acquired the preferred financier tag for Suzuki, Yamaha, TVS, Piaggio and Hero MotoCorp in its operating region.


Key financial indicators

As On/For the Period Ended  Unit  Mar-24 Mar-23 Mar-22 Mar-21
Assets under management Rs crore  798.8 633.7 495.8 531.1
Total income Rs crore 191.6 133.8 107 108.5
Gross NPA % 3.90% 3.70% 4.90% 2.50%
Adjusted Gearing Times 3.75 4.3 2.9 2.8
Profit after tax Rs crore 31.2 15.2 9.5 11.4
Return on managed assets % 4.40% 2.70% 1.90% 2.10%

Any other information: Not Applicable

Note on complexity levels of the rated instrument:
CRISIL Ratings` complexity levels are assigned to various types of financial instruments and are included (where applicable) in the 'Annexure - Details of Instrument' in this Rating Rationale.

CRISIL Ratings will disclose complexity level for all securities - including those that are yet to be placed - based on available information. The complexity level for instruments may be updated, where required, in the rating rationale published subsequent to the issuance of the instrument when details on such features are available.

For more details on the CRISIL Ratings` complexity levels please visit www.crisilratings.com. Users may also call the Customer Service Helpdesk with queries on specific instruments.

Annexure - Details of Instrument(s)

ISIN Name of the
security
Date of
 issuance
Coupon
rate (%)
Maturity
date*
Size of the issue
(Rs.Crore)
Complexity
level
Rating
assigned
Cash collateral
(Rs.Crore)
NA$ Series A1 SNs 29-Nov-24 11.35 17-May-27 23.42 Highly Complex Provisional CRISIL A+ (SO) 2.52#

$ISIN yet to be issued

*Indicates door to door tenure. Actual tenure will depend on the level of prepayments in the pool, and exercise of the clean-up call option

#Additional credit support includes Rs 4.46 crore in form of scheduled cash flow subordination (including EIS and over-collateralisation).

Annexure - Rating History for last 3 Years
  Current 2024 (History) 2023  2022  2021  Start of 2021
Instrument Type Outstanding Amount Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Rating
Series A1 SNs LT 23.42 Provisional CRISIL A+ (SO)   --   --   --   -- --
All amounts are in Rs.Cr.
Criteria Details
Links to related criteria
Meaning and applicability of SO and CE symbol
CRISILs rating methodology for ABS transactions
Evaluating risks in securitisation transactions - A primer

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